Matt Duyst

Matt Duyst
Environmental Data Scientist, Machine Learning
Austin, TX
About

I'm an environmental data scientist at Grassroots Carbon, where I build the data systems and models that turn satellite imagery, soil samples, and climate records into the biomass and soil carbon estimates behind verified carbon credits.

Before that I was at SeekOps, a NASA JPL spin-off, measuring methane from drones: I led a study of flare combustion efficiency across the Bakken and Permian basins and published it at SPE ATCE 2024. I hold a Master of Environmental Science from Yale in machine learning, remote sensing, and spatial statistics, fully funded as a Merit Research Scholar and Hixon Center Fellow, with a summer at the University of Minnesota's Marcell Experimental Forest forecasting methane from a peatland flux tower, and an Honorable Mention at the 2022 Global Stocktake Climate Datathon ahead of COP 27. My BA is from UCLA, in Geography and Environmental Studies with minors in GIS and English.

I grew up on a small citrus farm near Sequoia National Park, where land, climate, and livelihood were never abstract.

Roles
Environmental Data Scientist, Machine Learning, Grassroots Carbon2025 to present
Environmental Data Scientist, SeekOps2024
Visiting Research Scientist, University of Minnesota2022
Geospatial Analyst, Cydcor2019 to 2020
BA, Geography and Environmental Studies, UCLA2014 to 2018
At a glance

The route so far.

A map you drive. Press play to travel the route in time order, or pick a stop. Zoom, pan, and read as you go; nothing here waits on the page scroll.

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2014201620182020202220242026
Experience and education

Where the work happened.

Grassroots Carbon

Environmental Data Scientist, Machine Learning
San Antonio and Austin, Texas · February 2025 to present

Grassroots Carbon is the largest soil carbon removal company in the United States, issuing credits for regenerative grazing across two million acres of rangeland. I build and maintain the data infrastructure beneath that verification: a system that ingests sparse ground-truth field observations from multiple monitoring networks and harmonizes them with satellite imagery, spectral indices, terrain derivatives, and soil and climate context into training-ready datasets for the downstream models. Ranch-level stratification is designed around SEP v2, where clustering geophysically similar ground directly reduces the sampling uncertainty that drives credit deductions.

I engineered the team's shared covariate extraction tooling, a Python client that queries five authoritative geospatial sources through one interface and consolidates what were previously fragmented workflows into a single maintained codebase. I benchmark biomass and structural vegetation architectures spanning deep learning, ensemble methods, and process-based ecological models, with outputs supporting quantification under the Regenerative Standard, VM0042, and CAR-SEP, and extends them into counterfactual baselines that reconstruct expected productivity under business-as-usual management, a required step under each methodology. I also lead technology planning for the company's earth observation capabilities, evaluating sensing platforms and data sources for the geospatial roadmap. This work is under active development and unpublished; publications are forthcoming.

SeekOps

Environmental Data Scientist
Austin, Texas · January to December 2024

SeekOps is a NASA JPL spin-off that quantifies methane emissions with tunable diode laser absorption spectroscopy sensors flown on UAVs. As one of three scientists on the Science team, reporting to the co-founder and CTO, I led a quantitative assessment of flare destruction removal efficiency across the Bakken and Permian basins. The campaign deployed UAV-mounted TDLAS sensors, ultrasonic anemometers, and RTK ground stations, and calculated efficiency through mass balance, comparing uncombusted methane in each plume against measured inflow while examining the influence of flowrate, temperature, and pressure. The result covered 42 flare systems across 71 observations, including 27 revisits, and was published as first author and presented at SPE ATCE 2024 (SPE-221067-MS), contributing to enhanced leak detection and repair programs in two major shale basins.

I designed the QA/QC workflow for the company's UAV methane detection: LiDAR terrain corrections, surface roughness adjustments for airflow near oil and gas facilities, and wind vector validation through flight telemetry, with plume dynamics modeled from mass conservation to produce emission source maps aligned with OGMP and EPA reporting standards. I trained a fine-tuned YOLOv8 detector to classify wellheads, compressors, storage tanks, and flare stacks from aerial imagery for autonomous site characterization, managing the full cycle from annotation to held-out validation, and built the client-facing and internal visualization suites in Python and GIS platforms that communicated spatial emissions distributions across survey campaigns.

Yale School of the Environment

Master of Environmental Science, Machine Learning, Remote Sensing and Spatial Statistics
New Haven, Connecticut · 2021 to 2023

Fully funded as a Yale Merit Research Scholar and Hixon Center for Urban Sustainability Fellow, and a Graduate Teaching Fellow for Regression Modeling of Ecological and Environmental Data. In the Lee Lab I investigated the relationship between urbanization, rice cultivation, and methane across China's Yangtze River Delta, home to more than 150 million people: multi-decadal land cover classified from 30 m Landsat in Google Earth Engine, with urban extent from the GAIA dataset and paddy rice from the Phenology and Pixel-Based Paddy Mapping algorithm, set against Sentinel-5P TROPOMI column methane and tested for spatial clustering with Getis-Ord Gi* and Global Moran's I. The thesis proposed a DeepLabV3+ network to extend the emissions record before the satellite era. A 2026 reproduction of the analysis does not reach the thesis conclusion: no land-cover model outperforms a spatial null at 0.25 degrees, and both the original thesis and the reproduction are published together with an errata.

Alongside the thesis, I integrated thermal and RGB UAV imagery into a calibrated four-band orthomosaic to assess photovoltaic panel performance across Yale's West Campus array, and with a Yale collaborator earned an Honorable Mention at the 2022 Global Stocktake Climate Datathon ahead of COP 27, competing among more than 100 participants with a cross-sectoral analysis of allowance pathways under the EU Emissions Trading System.

University of Minnesota

Visiting Research Scientist, Griffis Lab
Marcell Experimental Forest, Minnesota · Summer 2022

Field and computational research at one of the world's longest-running peatland monitoring programs, working with eddy covariance towers, ultrasonic anemometers, and greenhouse gas analyzers under AmeriFlux protocols to capture methane concentration gradients at fine temporal resolution. The 2022 work applied feature importance and seasonal decomposition to isolate the environmental drivers of flux and built an ensemble of LightGBM, SARIMAX, Prophet, and XGBoost over OLS regression, reported at the time to explain 87 percent of variance with forecasts extended to 52 weeks.

The project was rebuilt from source in 2026 as a monthly study of the full 2009 to 2024 record, forecasting one to twelve months ahead against seasonal benchmarks and projecting the fitted relationships back two decades. The rebuilt finding is narrower and more useful: the seasonal cycle repeats reliably, the size of each season varies without trend, and none of the recorded covariates predict that variation once seasonality is accounted for. It is the first of my repositories brought to production standard, with its data, decisions, and limits documented.

University of California, Los Angeles

BA, Geography and Environmental Studies; minors in Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and English
Los Angeles, California · 2014 to 2018

UCLA Regents Scholar and Undergraduate Research Scholars Program recipient. The coursework covered the full geospatial stack: supervised and unsupervised image classification, spectral index analysis, SAR interpretation, DEM construction, spatial interpolation and autocorrelation, SQL spatial querying, cartographic design, and predictive environmental modeling. The undergraduate thesis measured surface vegetation change across the Mendocino Complex, at the time the largest wildfire in California history, from Landsat 8 pre- and post-fire scenes in Google Earth Engine using NDVI and NBR, and was presented at the 2019 Los Angeles Geospatial Summit, hosted by the USC Spatial Sciences Institute. Twenty-plus of the coursework maps form the archive on this site.

Research

Research themes.

Measuring what you cannot see directly

Methane from a satellite column, biomass from reflectance, combustion from a plume. Every project infers a quantity the instrument never touches, and has to say how well.

Two sources rarely agree

Satellites, drones, towers, and field samples were each built for their own purpose, at their own resolution and revisit. Everything downstream rests on reconciling them into one measurement you can rely on.

Ground the model was never trained on

What happens when a model leaves its training region, year, or ecosystem, and whether it can be honest about where it cannot answer. Physics-constrained structure and foundation models are the two levers.

Checkable science

A result earns trust by being reproducible, not by who produced it. Each project is published with its data and code, and an errata where the reproduction disagrees with the original.

Methods and toolsPython, R, SQL · PyTorch, TensorFlow, scikit-learn, XGBoost, LightGBM · Google Earth Engine, GDAL, Rasterio, GeoPandas · QGIS, ArcGIS Pro · Landsat, Sentinel-5P TROPOMI, LiDAR, UAV photogrammetry · eddy covariance, spatial statistics, time series forecasting · Docker, Azure
Selected projects

Projects. Rebuilt repositories carry their 2026 findings; the rest carry the original result until their rebuild lands.

  1. Observed and forecast monthly methane flux at Bog Lake Peatland, 2014 to 2021
    Forecasting and reconstructing monthly methane flux at Marcell Bog Lake Peatland
    University of Minnesota, Griffis lab · AmeriFlux US-MBP, 2009 to 2024
    Visiting Research Scientist, 2022 · Rebuilt 2026
  2. Observed methane over the Yangtze River Delta beside the field a land-cover model produces
    Urban expansion, paddy rice, and atmospheric methane over the Yangtze River Delta
    Yale School of the Environment, Lee lab · Landsat-derived land cover, Sentinel-5P TROPOMI
    MESc thesis, 2023 · Reproduced 2026, with errata
  3. Quantification of methane flare destruction removal efficiency across the Bakken and Permian basins using UAV-mounted TDLAS sensors
    Duyst, K. M., Smith, B. J., et al. · SeekOps
    SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, 2024 · SPE-221067-MS
  4. Toward UAV decision-support tools for photovoltaic arrays: a coastal Connecticut thermal mosaicking case study
    Anthony, Duyst, Verheyden, Zhao · Yale ENV 704
    Course research, 2022 · rebuild pending
  5. Mendocino Fire Complex: surface vegetation change through spectral indices (NDVI and NBR)
    UCLA Geography · Landsat 8 OLI, Google Earth Engine
    Undergraduate thesis, 2018 · Los Angeles Geospatial Summit, 2019 · rebuild pending
  6. Historical and projected allowance pathway for German paper and cardboard under the EU ETS
    Carbon trading: a cross-sectoral analysis of allowance pathways under the EU ETS
    Duyst, Bhardwaj · Global Stocktake Climate Datathon
    2022, ahead of COP 27 · Honorable Mention
  7. Grassland growth across US rangeland for soil carbon verification
    Grassroots Carbon · process-based light use efficiency with a machine-learning correction
    2025 to present · publications forthcoming
  8. Thirty-one coursework projects: classification, SAR, terrain, interpolation, and cartography
    UCLA Geography, 2014 to 2018
    Archive
Code & data

Open repositories.

Peatland-Flux-Forecasting

Monthly methane and carbon dioxide flux at Marcell Bog Lake Peatland, 2009 to 2024: forecasts against seasonal benchmarks and a backward reconstruction.
AmeriFlux US-MBPgithub ↑

Yangtze-Landcover-Methane

A 2023 thesis preserved as submitted, a 2026 reproduction with a working pipeline, and an errata recording where they disagree.
Landsat, TROPOMIgithub ↑

Carbon-Trading

Sector emissions and allowance pathways under the EU ETS, with a Dash tool for user-set allowance decay rates.
EU ETS, 2005 to 2021github ↑